Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011
2025-04-13 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013
2025-04-20 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000016
2025-04-27 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022
2025-05-11 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026
2025-05-18 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000031
2025-05-25 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000020 0.000036
2025-06-01 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022 0.000040
2025-06-08 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000047
2025-06-15 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000026 0.000054
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000027 0.000060
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000029 0.000069
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000030 0.000076
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000033 0.000088
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000036 0.000104
2025-07-27 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000039 0.000120
2025-08-03 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000043 0.000142
2025-08-10 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000046 0.000164
2025-08-17 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000050 0.000192
2025-08-24 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000052 0.000215
2025-08-31 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000056 0.000249
2025-09-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000020 0.000061 0.000291